Growth Economics
Does growth pay for itself?
Change any input — every metric, chart and recommendation recalculates.
Inputs
Eney · USD · 30-day window
CTR
1.20%
CPC
$0.89
CPM
$10.71
Trial CVR
6.50%
Ad-only CAC
$72
Blended CAC
$87
Target $85
ROAS (attributed)
0.58×
Simplified LTV
$128
Contribution / churn
LTV : CAC
1.5×
CAC payback
7.9 mo
ROMI (incremental)
-9%
Uses assumed incremental revenue
Contribution (24 mo)
$10,992
AI Budget Advisor
Deterministic rules: CAC ≤ target, LTV:CAC ≥ 3, payback ≤ 12 mo, CTR vs. conversion quality
Hold & optimise
- Blended CAC $87 is above the $85 target.
- LTV:CAC of 1.5× is under the 3× guideline.
Assumes the inputs reflect one cohort and attribution window. A recommendation, not an action — budget changes require human approval.
CAC payback
Cumulative contribution per customer (with churn) vs. blended CAC
LTV sensitivity to churn
How fragile is the LTV assumption?
Best / base / downside
Downside: −20% paid, +25% churn · Best: +20% paid, −20% churn
Channel budget allocation
Splits the $30,000 ad spend · assumes diminishing returns per channel
Modelled total: 405 paid customers. Illustrative response curve, not a forecast.
Scenario A vs. Scenario B
Why the campaign with cheaper clicks isn't automatically the one to scale
| A · Higher CTR, lower quality | B · Lower CTR, higher retention | |
|---|---|---|
| CTR | 1.80% | 0.90% |
| CPC | $0.56 | $1.11 |
| Blended CAC | $79 | $88 |
| Monthly churn | 15.3% | 6.4% |
| Simplified LTV | $71 | $188 |
| LTV : CAC | 0.9× | 2.2× |
| 24-mo contribution | $-2,846 | $17,004 |
Formula notes
CTR = Clicks / Impressions
CPC = Ad Spend / Clicks
CPM = Ad Spend / Impressions × 1,000
Trial CVR = Trials / Clicks
Ad-only CAC = Ad Spend / New Paid
Blended CAC = Total Acquisition Cost / New Paid
ROAS = Attributed Revenue / Ad Spend
LTV = (ARPU × Gross Margin) / Monthly Churn
Payback = Blended CAC / Monthly Contribution
ROMI = (Incremental Revenue × Margin − Spend) / Spend
Simplified LTV assumes stable revenue, constant churn and stable margins. ROMI requires an explicit incremental-revenue assumption — attributed revenue is not proven incremental revenue. Zero denominators display "—".